Hirayama's study was designed to
assess the relationship between passive smoking and the occurrence of lung
cancer in the wives of smoking husbands in Japan. The study followed 91,450 wives that
fit the criteria. They followed the 91,450 couples for a 14-year period between
1961 and 1974. The 91,450 women constituted %91-%99 of the target population. The study also tracked the effects of passive smoking on the
occurrence of stomach cancer, emphysema, and asthma. The results showed a direct correlation between the women who
were married to heavy cigarette smokers have a half to third greater chance of
contracting lung cancer. The results also indicated that asthma and emphysema
were higher in this cohort. There was no statistical evidence to suggest that
there is a correlation between being married to a smoker and the occurrence of
stomach cancer in the wife.
The
scale of the study is what I think is most important. Keeping track of nearly
100,000 must have required a tremendous amount of funding and man-hours to
regularly check up on that many people.
With such a large sample size, it is very hard for anyone to dispute the
relationships between the passive smoking in partners and the occurrence of
lung cancer in the wife. I was also surprised about the fact that wives of
smokers in agricultural areas were significantly more likely to contract lung
cancer than there urban counterparts. The study attributes this to the larger
amount of time that couples spend together in agricultural settings, but I thought
the population density and close living situation of urban centers would
cause greater harm than the extra
time together.
The
benefits of using a cohort study in this situation is two fold: firstly it
allows for the study to follow the subjects for long periods of time, as well
as being able to effectively follow large numbers in order diffuse doubters who
would otherwise have concerns about the determining a relationship in a small
sample size. Also, the cohort study allowed for the study to take into account
other possible environmental factors that may have skewed the results of the
study, such as the wives’ personal habits, living situation, and location.
I
believe the study had convincing results, particularly because the study spanned
through all kinds of environments. The study did not just focus on smokers in
urban settings, but also rural, and agricultural settings. The study was most convincing because the relative risk values that
were greater than one strongly support a relationship between lung cancer and passive
smoking, with husbands who smoked twenty or more cigarettes a day. I also believe that it was important that the study interviewed
the couples independently because it maximized the honesty of the responses.